What Makes You Think?

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When you listen to the valid complaints of activist Greta Thunberg, speaking at the World Economic Forum in Davos, we must understand that the undesirable symptoms she talks about are derived from the flawed theory of the systems of humanity. For a symptom is a mere consequence of the theory of a system as its cause. Resolving a symptom without improving the system does not improve the trajectory of the status quo.

So, it is important to question the theory of the systems set before us. The sleep of reason is induced by the blind conformance to a stale manmade belief instilled in the system, a set of foregone conclusions few dare to challenge simply because those beliefs have been widely adopted by society.

And who are you to challenge the rules set before you?

 

Enlightenment

You may not feel empowered or courageous enough to challenge foregone conclusions feverishly promulgated by society.

The world is a dangerous place, not because bad people exist but because of those who do nothing about it. — Albert Einstein

I will do something about it. Not in the least because the truth on which those beliefs are based have often expired or are no longer deemed relevant.

We have learned a few things about nature. The earth is not flat, and the sun does not revolve around us. Instead, our planet revolves around our sun, one of 100 billion in our universe surrounded by 400 billion galaxies. Einstein discovered one hundred years ago the universe evolves around a general theory of relativity, incompatible with the systems of humanity still stuck in oligarchically controlled monisms of absolutism. Just to name a few higher-order precepts that define our future.

Humanity’s normalization of truth must evolve along with new discoveries of nature, and not remain stuck in frozen dogmas from our past. Today’s truth is not tomorrow’s truth, rendering our beliefs and the stale systems that determine what humanity can discover outdated and incompatible. Those systems, meant to expand the fractal of human ingenuity and help humanity develop and adapt to the changes nature bestows upon us, instead, by design, artificially narrow the standard-deviation of humanitarian merit.

So, knowing what we know today, let’s do a little thought-experiment about the many foregone conclusions that should make you want to question everything. Pull out the popcorn and read up about how many fundamental societal beliefs are actually misguided and false.

 

What makes you think a final score in soccer is an accurate indicator of gameplay?

A score in a game is a consequence – not the cause – of gameplay. And since entropy dictates you can only go from cause to consequence, no inference from consequence can lead to the unique identification of cause. The score of a game of soccer is NO indication of gameplay. In the same way, a numerical denomination of anything is no indication of what induced the number. Let that sink in before you continue. Nietzsche described this phenomenon as the grave depravity of reason induced by confounding of consequence and cause. Much of human behavior is correlated to grave depravity of reason.

What makes you think identical scores in soccer are derived from identical gameplay?

Two games of soccer ending in the same score have not come from identical gameplay, not in the least because it is impossible to replicate 90-minute gameplay of twenty-some players on the field to a tee. And the score says nothing about who played against who. Hence, no numerical outcomes that are the same can be inferred to have come from the same cause, making the comparisons of numbers, and thus the interpretation of big data, and therefore the use of consequential data to feed artificial intelligence, a sketchy endeavor.

What makes you think GDP is an accurate indicator of economic gameplay?

Gross Domestic Product, or GDP, is often referred to as the measurement of health or well-being of a country’s economic performance. Never mind the U.S. economy in which finance eleven times the size of production is most likely to indicate finance is spinning its wheels without necessarily improving production, the betting on itself a more likely scenario. And an economy that spins faster is not equal to a resilient and renewable economy that instead relies on non-linear aberrations of traction. Economics is a religion of the depraved, systematically confounding consequence and cause by using GDP as the flawed inference to cause.

What makes you think two countries with identical GDP came from identical economic gameplay?

Similar to how the same scores in soccer have not come from identical gameplay, no sound comparisons can be made about the economic performance of countries based on GDP. Again, for the sheer fact numbers are a consequence, not the cause. The plot of grave depravity thickens when the definition and composition of GDP differ per country, making any comparison as relevant as comparing a score in soccer with a score in rugby.

What makes you think the report card of your child is a proper prognosticator of their future?

The evolution of humanity is based on the exploration of our meaningful differences that allows us to optimally adapt to the curveballs of entropy nature throws our way. Hence, not the value of our conformance to commonalities but the expansion of the fractal of our differences define the value of our contributions to society. So, why is it that we teach, grade, and evaluate our children on what to think rather than how to think to make them smarter than us? Formal education is not only highly overrated, but it also puts the outliers of reason to sleep.

What makes you think the extrapolation of hindsight yields foresight to break the norm?

Why do we think the past will repeat itself when the definition of entropy dictates no such thing is the case. We are the fallout from the Big Bang explosion 13.72 billion years ago that will never revert back to its original predicament, nor will that cup of coffee you dropped on the floor and breaks into a million pieces. The norm of the future is predicated on our expanding understanding of the universe, with every expansion of understanding revealing new normalizations of truth to which we are beholden. Foresight that breaks the norm comes from an improving normalization of nature’s truth, not from the extrapolation of dogmas from a frozen past.

What makes you think a scripture from an ancient past can possibly measure up to be a guide of a new and brighter future?

Religion was our first attempt at science, and thus by definition a poor one. We now know Jesus did not walk on water, because it is impossible for humans to do so. Our universe is not designed with us in mind, instead, we are a product of the universe, and merely stardust at that. No scripture of a past correlated to false and inaccurate normalizations of truth can serve as the reliable guide for the discovery of new truths. New normalizations come from new provable discoveries challenging the bounds of the current norm, and by their very definition obliterate the normalizations they disprove. Hence, a brighter future for humanity will only come from new normalizations to which we adapt.

What makes you think everything that can be counted can be counted on?

A final score in a game of soccer is no indication of the quality of gameplay. A higher overall score may mean the defense was weak, offering little resistance to attack. It may also indicate one team has a star player on fire. Or the score may have come from a little league game where some kids are simply too nervous to kick the ball. No gameplay can be inferred from a high score, in the same way, the price of a stock is no indication of company performance or its future. A number is a consequence, not the root-cause of an event.

What makes you think markets exist?

It is hilarious to see bean-counters, financial journalists, on network television refer to markets as animate objects. Statements like “the markets are hesitant” as all-too-common evidence. Grave depravity of reason is at play whenever inanimate objects are turned animate. Indeed, markets do not exist. They are merely inanimate references to consequence rather than cause, for a market is at best a temporal consequence of a marketplace as its cause. With marketplaces as the causal instrument of trade having been in existence for hundreds of years. Just like in the soccer reference, one ought not to infer the sum of all so-called markets is any way correlated to the sum of all marketplaces. The “total addressable market” is quite different from the volatile performance of “the market” in question.

What makes you think economics properly models human performance?

The practice of economics uses modeling derived from past performance to predict future performance, a practice now even scorned by the former Fed chief and equally disdained by the Chief Investment Officers of major pension funds. Economics is flawed because it confounds cause and consequence systemically, leading to much socialized grave depravity of reason. We describe an economist as a driver of a car who solely from looking in the rearview mirror must decide how and where to drive; an expert of hindsight as the rebel without a cause.

What makes you think our current systems serve humanity?

The constructs by which humanity measures, controls, and expands its performance are oligarchic systems of absolutism resistant to change, all while Einstein discovered one-hundred years ago everything in our universe, including the evolution of humanity, revolves around relativity. Hence, the systems conjured up by humanity fall at least one dimension short of human capacity, and it shows. All of the operating-systems of humanity must be subjugated to the first-principles of nature for humanity to optimally adapt to the entropy of nature, and prolong our species as long as humanly possible.

What makes you think growth is sustainable?

Growth can never be infinite in a universe subjugated to irreversible entropy with the availability of energy ever-decreasing. Everything in our universe is finite, including humanity. The growth of humanity is predicated on the death and rebirth of a stronger version of ourselves, our growth is predicated on the principles of renewal, not on the false, unattainable, and nonexistent supposition of sustainability. The prolonging of endurance only achievable through the adherence to nature’s first-principles of renewal.

What makes you think growth is good?

Anyone on Wall Street will make you believe growth is a sign of strength. Not so in nature, as growth for the sake of growth is the ideology of a cancer cell (Edward Abbey). Even humans stop growing after age twenty. Human evolution relies on the quality of dynamic equilibriums with the resources upon which we depend and by which we can adapt. Companies attempting to grow infinitely build “carcinomas” out of touch with the customers they aim to serve, as do people who vie to live forever.

What makes you think the best growth is linear?

Linear growth relies on a factor of absolutism, an impossible feat considering everything in our universe relies on interdependent pluralities of relativity. Nothing in the universe grows in a linear fashion, neither do we or the companies we build. So, why do we build investment models that depend on linear growth and punish those who do not?

What makes you think each of us living as long as possible is good for humanity?

Of course, it is hard to leave this party on earth early, but to live as long as possible in whatever state possible is not in the interest of the renewal of humanity. In fact, the sooner we make way for the next generation with new ideas, the better. Already more than 70% of Americans today depend on prescription drugs to make it through the day. That means we genetically soil humanity with 245 million walking-dead, unfit for evolutionary fine-tuning and strengthening. Plus, the average age of Americans is already below the average for developed countries, in decline for the third year in a row. So, what we describe as an advanced civilization is largely a walking-dead civilization, not quite representing the excellence of human genealogy.

What makes you think money equals evolutionary merit?

Money was created to value the exchange of services rendered. Not so anymore, when we can bet on the aberrations of valuations (in a stock market or other exchanges) without rendering any services. Meaning the trust that a dollar actually represents a dollar in value has been blown to pieces. In turn, people with money may have robbed the bank of society to acquire that money and not deserve any merit from which the exchange of services derived its value. Money no longer by definition carries the trust or merit of value.

What makes you think “making money” is actually making sense?

You can “make” money by selling cigarettes, which is then responsible for the respiratory disease, the third-leading cause of death to Americans causing cascading other diseases humanity is subjected to, causing all of us today to pay hefty health insurance premiums. You can also make money by selling meat infused with hormones that are then absorbed by the human body with untold consequences to our health. You can also make money by selling tap water from public resources, flavor it using a consistent formula, and sell it as purified water at one-hundred times the price of tap water back to the public. None of these forms of making money make any humanitarian sense or serve the needs of humanity.

What makes you think democracy is good for humanity?

The sum of human wants, coagulated by democracy, is not equal to the sum of human needs. For what humanity needs is defined by the first-principles of evolution to which we are all subjugated. What we want is highly irrelevant to the process of evolution. The rules of nature are never suspended, not even by our silly antics or the solipsism by which we pretend to rule the world. In fact, democracy is not the savior of humanity but puts humanity to sleep in solipsistic self-contentment. We must obey the first-principles of nature instead, as the only guide that matters.

What makes you think unbridled freedom is good?

Freedom, referred to as liberty in the American constitution, is the most misunderstood constitutional concept. For no freedom can exist without paradoxical rules that prevent a vile-maxims of individual freedom from eroding the trust in collective freedom. Hence, freedom is an innate relativity theory, that cannot exist without boundaries. The absolutism of freedom, or unbridled freedom, cannot exist in a construct that aims to maintain the freedom of all participants. Even the freest country in the world needs police and a justice system (deploying paradoxical rules) to maintain the boundaries to protect the collective trust in freedom from the ravages of individualism.

What makes you think freedom is still needed?

Only freedom can discover outliers and push the boundaries of the paradoxical rules of collective freedom to improve the theory of what humanity can discover. So, freedom is imperative for societies to renew and optimally adapt to the change nature’s entropy bestows upon humanity.

What makes you think you are free when societal freedom is staunchly controlled?

Our current marketplace constructs have been conceived by a laissez-faire private sector oligarchy, whose methods are to maintain and grow the impact of the oligarchy. The methods they conceive are totalitarian monisms of so-called “best practices” copied around the world. Yet, once those constructs are defined, the oligarchy resists the kind of change warranted by evolutionary change, and the constructs soon become outdated and no longer perform at optimal capacity. Subpriming is the default outcome of any system not in compliance with the first-principles of nature.

What makes you think the stock market is “free”, and thus an accurate representation of fair trading?

Our implementation of a “free-market” is a popular misnomer, for it is neither free nor does a market exist. A marketplace that adheres to freedom must be subjugated to a dynamic meritocracy that allows unrestricted demand to connect with unrestricted supply and vice versa, in which the participants dictate the rules and therefore trust in the efficacy of the exchange. Stock markets are quite the opposite, an exchange in which both demand and supply rules of engagement are established, modified, and controlled by the owner of the exchange, and thus quite the opposite of free.

What makes you think acquiring knowledge will actually make you smarter?

Knowledge is hindsight, imagination is foresight. Hence knowledge is merely the recollection and regurgitation of events that have already occurred, memorization at best. And no extrapolation of hindsight will lead to foresight to break the norm. Or in the words of Albert Einstein, reading too many books will make for a lazy mind. Hence, extensive knowledge is often confounded with intelligence. Intelligence that instead relies on a higher and unprecedented normalization of observable truth that will lead to better decision making.

What makes you think voting for a politician represents your viewpoints in voting for laws?

What gets politicians voted into office is no reflection of the legislation capable of making it through the chambers. What politicians want is not the same as what the collective politicians stand for and endorse, or what is supported by constitutional precedent. Hence, there is little chance the viewpoints of a politician looking from the outside in will result in the desired legislation.

What makes you think a president actually represents the will of most Americans?

The U.S. President is voted into office by no more than 30% of the U.S. population, the vast majority already voluntarily disenfranchised from the political process. Meaning, in close elections, the President-elect receives not more than about 16% of the U.S. population. So, why are you surprised the viewpoint of any President does not represent the will of 84% of the American people?

What makes you think venture capital can capture outliers?

Venture capital is a high-risk high-yield private equity instrument by which the assets of limited partners – money – are married with the assets of entrepreneurs – ideas. So, first, why is that an 80% Greenfield of technology innovation has not yielded outlier returns to make limited partners double down on the asset-class? Venture capital has by virtue of deal fragmentation, deal syndication, and collusion turned incompatible with finding outliers. A reason why it could not spot outliers like Tesla until it showed up in their rear-view mirror. Venture capital is the poster-child of an oligarchic marketplace out of touch with reality and returns.

What makes you think the sky is blue?

Every child is told to paint the sky blue, while the sky in actuality is transparent and merely represents the colors of the objects in front or behind it. So, why do we not teach children the truth from such an early age?

 

I will stop here, but there is so much more nonsense that impregnates the fabric of our society.

 

Systemic Change To The Rescue

The sheer gravitas of the foolery we sell ourselves should make us understand it is high time to reinvent the principles and theory of the operating-systems that determine what humanity can discover. I have done so. Not with the voodoo of more self-serving or oligarchic precepts, but by paying attention to nature’s evolutionary theory and first-principles that actually define the merit of our existence.

To prolong the life on earth of humanity, we must begin to adjust human gameplay to nature’s gameplay. And only then can we avoid the nasty symptoms leading to an accelerated anthropogenic cascade, and systematically preempt and adapt to nature’s entropy. To understand nature’s gameplay – to which we are subjugated – our leaders must begin to understand nature’s first-principles, the ones we devoted many years to formulate and discover.

Sign up for our masterclasses to rid the manmade nonsense from society and learn to adjust the systems of policy, capital, and innovation to nature’s first principles to begin to produce regenerative capacity in line with our evolutionary obligation and preservation.

 

Discuss

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Georges van Hoegaerden
Georges van Hoegaerdenhttps://www.method41.com/georges
Georges is the Founder and Managing Director of method41. From analyzing the workings of policy, capital, and innovation, Georges noticed how these siloed constructs are woefully incompatible with the principles nature deploys to produce regenerative performance. With humanity stuck in a fabric of its own making, Georges set out to reinvent the operating-systems of humanity to fix the theory that determines what humanity can discover, aiming to fundamentally improve human adaptability to nature's entropy.
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