The Nitwits On Sand Hill Road

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I could not help but chuckle (again) when Oracle’s 30-year-running CEO, Larry Ellison (full disclosure) fiercely yelled out the words from the title of this blog, referring to the artificial arbitration of innovation applied by Venture Capitalists (VCs) we talk about in this blog so often.

Road to witches

Sand Hill Road, for those unfamiliar, is the street in Menlo Park, California, where the majority of Silicon Valley VC enjoy some of the most expensive office rent in the country and invite their often starving entrepreneurs to “beg” for money. The area is considered the birthplace of Venture Capital.

Larry goes on to say that Venture Capitalists think that innovation is like coming up with a new technology buzzword, expressing his specific dismay with the term cloud computing (watch the Churchill Club interview on YouTube, skip to 47:53 min if you don’t like boating).

The reason why I bring that up is four-fold:

  1. Entrepreneurs are subject to this artificial arbitration (that is applied with the seasonality and commonality of fashion) as the primary method to get their high growth company funded. Entrepreneurs think that “wisdom” leads to success, yet deplorable VC returns prove otherwise.
  2. Limited Partners (LPs) seem to respond commensurately with their limited allocation in venture (usually less than 15% of total distribution) and their natural inclination is to rest with the excuses (we debunked) from VCs, who never fails to reiterate that cyclical behavior of the financial markets and the economy are to blame for the deplorable returns in venture.
  3. VCs are downplaying the systemic risk of this artificial arbitration (applied by the venture investor cartel) to our government, stating that $200B of venture investments pose less systemic risk than other asset classes, while completely ignoring that their behavior kills the meritocracy and innovative culture our country was founded upon.
  4. Other VCs in the country (and around the world) copy the tactics of Silicon Valley investors, with similar results awaiting them.

But feel free not take my word for it. Agreeing with Larry Ellison, Mike Moritz, as one of Silicon Valley’s most lauded VCs, was recently heard saying the Venture Capital business has been broken for twenty years. So do similarly successful venture peers Vinod Khosla and Greg Lamond, who believe – like we do – that when the risk is sucked out of investing, one should not expect great returns.

Subprime spiral

Still not listening? Stanford, Yale, Harvard and Princeton universities all appear to be suffering from significant losses to their endowment as a result of investments in “alternative” assets, which includes venture capital. To combat, according to PE Hub, Stanford has just raised a $1 billion in a bond offering last April in case of a “true emergency.”

By the way: with those Ivy League universities having bred the most renowned economists and professors in entrepreneurship, does anyone question whether their expertise is worth the tuition? Are the experts really what they claim?

How much precisely of that depressing news can be contributed to the performance of Venture Capital is not clear to me today (Hedge funds and Private Equity are the most common other assets) yet reports from both CalPERS and CalSTRS pension funds suggest a lackluster contribution of VC across the venture spectrum.

Wake up

Deaf? Many of my peers in executive positions at Apple, Cisco, Oracle, HP, eBay refuse to enter the venture fray in which the equilibrium of entrepreneur and investor is entirely out of whack. The cyclical nature of the downward sub-prime spiral continues to rear its ugly head. The only entrepreneurs that submit to sub-prime investments today are as sub-prime as their investors, incapable of building excellent fund performance.

The alarm bells are ringing. Limited Partners need to wake up, only because of the loud reverberation of a vast preponderance of circumstantial evidence. It is time for LPs to listen, not to popular opinion from the people who got them in this financial debacle in the first place, but to people who offer ideas designed to serve outlier entrepreneurs better. The time for change is now.

Passively waiting for consensus on data-driven views is guaranteed to lead us to what Larry referred to as an L-shape recovery in the venture business.

 

Georges van Hoegaerden
Georges van Hoegaerden
Georges is the Founder and Managing Director of method41. From analyzing the workings of policy, capital, and innovation, determining the fractal of human expansion, Georges discovered how these siloed, manmade manacles are woefully incompatible with nature's principles dictating the longevity of our species. By believing in a better world with better people, Georges set out to reinvent the theory of humanity that determines what can be discovered.
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